Friday, 22 February 2013

Uhuru overtakes Raila in latest poll

Prime Minister and CORD presidential candidate Raila Odinga on Thursday took his campaign to Elgeyo/Marakwet County with a reconciliatory message. He promised to unite all Kenyans and fast track reforms and the much needed development if elected. The Prime Minister said that his many years in politics had given him vast experience to chart a way forward for the country. He extended an olive branch to his Jubilee Alliance colleagues, saying he had no personal difference with them. Speaking at a rally at Iten stadium, the PM said he would improve the livelihoods of all Kenyans and urged the locals to desist from listening to propaganda. “You voted for me in 2007 overwhelmingly and I am asking for your vote once more so that I can implement what I had pledged to you then,” said the premier. He added: “Simnajua ngombe yetu ilizaa na ndama ikaliwa na mbwa?” (You are aware that our cow calved but the calf was devoured by dogs), he posed in reference to the bungled 2007 election. Raila said if elected, his Government would ensure county devolution is implemented fully. He added that youth and women would benefit from Trust Funds from his Government. The PM also said agricultural seeds would be subsidised to ensure farmers reap from their investments. “We will build stores to help farmers store their produce until they find favourable markets for their produce,” Raila added. Regional Development minister Fred Gumo and The Independent Party leader Kalembe Ndile accompanied Raila. He said he would ensure that agricultural inputs were provided to farmers on time and at subsidised prices to enhance production and also provide marketing facilities. On youth and women empowerment, the Prime Minister said his Government would revamp the existing youth and women enterprise funds and scrap the provision of security and interest. “Under CORD government, men and women over 65 years will each receive a monthly stipend under the old people social safety programme,” said Raila. He added that health centres would be established from the sub-location level to make health services accessible to all. Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto have taken the lead from Raila Odinga and Kalonzo Musyoka, according to the latest opinion poll. This is the first time the Jubilee alliance presidential team has been rated ahead of their Cord alliance rivals in the 2013 race to State House by any of the major opinion pollsters. Their slight lead is, however, within the poll’s margin of error, confirming the view the top two pairings are neck and neck. With just nine days to the General Election, the latest Ipsos Synovate survey puts Uhuru-Ruto (Jubilee) at 44.8 per cent against Raila-Kalonzo’s 44.4 per cent (CORD). The poll, released on Friday, shows Jubilee has overtaken CORD in popularity with a rating of 45.1 per cent against their rivals’ 44 per cent. Amani coalition flag-bearer Musalia Mudavadi is rated at 5.2 per cent and Eagle alliance’s Peter Kenneth at 1.6 per cent. The other contenders are Narc Kenya’s Martha Karua (0.8 per cent), ARK’s Abduba Dida (0.2 per cent), RBK’s James ole Kiyiapi (0.1 per cent) and Safina’s Paul Muite (0 per cent). Less than three per cent of the 5,971 people polled were undecided or refused to answer. The poll suggests Uhuru and Raila may end up in a second round, as no coalition will get more than 50 per cent of the vote. Ipsos Synovate’s last poll, released on Monday this week, had Raila and Uhuru tied at 43 per cent. Opinion poll dance Uhuru’s spokesman Munyori Buku dismissed the latest opinion poll, one of the last before a five-day ban prior to voting day kicks in. “The opinion polls dance can continue,” said Buku. “But the only poll Mr Kenyatta and Mr Ruto believe in is the one involving real ballots.” The poll indicated that Raila has an edge over Uhuru in the re-run. “Mr Odinga has a slight advantage over Mr Kenyatta in a second round but we cannot predict who will be a clear winner with 37 per cent undecided,” says Tom Wolf, Synovate’s Research Analyst

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