MUGABE TO HAVE SAFE RETIREMENT IN TANZANIA

27 January 1980: Cheering crowds greet ZANU-PF leader Robert Mugabe in Salisbury as he makes a triumphant return to his home country after five years in exile

What  is  a possible  future  for   Zimbabwe ? "I think we will have an outright result but if it's not outright, we will discuss," he said. "Let the facts be delivered to us by the voters tomorrow.

"I believe we ran a successful campaign. I believe the campaign also showed us that the people still support the principles of Zanu PF and believe in Zanu PF." The 89-year-old leader was addressing local and foreign journalists at State House during the first such press conference in decades.

Robert Mugabe, Zimbabwe's president, has said he will "surrender" power if he loses Wednesday's poll, but predicted an outright  win for Zanu PF.

There are many signal that President Kikwete of Tanzania had  offered Mugabe safe heaven if he except the will of the people of Zimbabwe if he lost the election today . Our sauce told us  Tanzania top Diplomat Mr Membe  met Mugabe and send Kikwete message about him to retire in Tanzania if he loose election.

But our diplomatic sauce told us Mugabe was very angry and told  Bernad  Membe he will die in Zimbabwe and he will never give the country to the Western Puppet unless he is  dead.  Mugabe said he also expected his main rival, Morgan Tsvangirai's Movement for Democratic Change, to give way if they lost.

"If you lose, then you must surrender to those who have won. If you win, those who have lost must also surrender to you," he said. "We will comply with the rules." He did not rule out forming another coalition with the MDC, such as was formed following a violent run-off in the 2008
Presidential election narrowly won in the first round by Mr Tsvangira

Presidential candidate and leader of the Movement for Democratic Change Morgan Tsvangirai casts his vote in Harare, as a high turnout is reported at polling booths across the country. 
Nobody expects a fair Zimbabwe election !

Bob  Mugabe, age eighty-nine and in failing health, has ruled Zimbabwe since 1980. Zimbabwe faces numerous potential scenarios once he dies or, highly unlikely, if he is defeated in the upcoming summer elections.

The dominant party in Zimbabwe is Mugabe's Zimbabwe African National Union Party-Patriotic Front (ZANU-PF). So long as Mugabe lives, ZANU-PF will likely win a national election. It benefits from the advantage of incumbency: not just because of intimidation, but because it is associated with the dispossession of white farmers. Land is by far the most important domestic issue in the country and Mugabe has been on the side of justice from the point of view of black Zimbabweans (even if his actions have frequently been antithetical to the rule of law). Once he dies, the structure of politics will likely open up. Hardliners appear willing to do anything to remain in power, be it forestalling prosecution for human rights violations, or protecting their economic interests. Party two camps  reformist camp appears more interested in renewing the party and regaining legitimacy.

14 MArch 2007: Morgan Tsvangirai of the opposition Movement for Democratic Change lies in a hospital bed with a suspected skull fracture after what he says was a brutal police attack during a protest against President Robert Mugabe's government

 The principle opposition parties are the Movement for Democratic Change-Mutambara (MDC-M) and the Movement for Democratic Change-Tsvangirai (MDC-T), which each formed when the original Movement for Democratic Change opposition party split in 2005. Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai's legitimacy has been compromised by his participation in the Mugabe-dominated government, but Mugabe's death may aid his political potential.Post-Mugabe, violent struggle between the two ZANU-PF camps is possible. There is also risk of an upsurge in ethnic-based violence. In Zimbabwe ethnicity is at the root of much of the "political" violence. In short, Mugabe's departure from the scene may change very little.